Not to mention, even in the absence of vaccines, mortality should have been lower in the second year due to the “pull forward” effect. (Individuals who died in year one were elderly and/or had multiple comorbidities and COVID hastened their demise.) Assuming this wasn’t adjusted for, the excess death estimate may actually be underestimat…
Not to mention, even in the absence of vaccines, mortality should have been lower in the second year due to the “pull forward” effect. (Individuals who died in year one were elderly and/or had multiple comorbidities and COVID hastened their demise.) Assuming this wasn’t adjusted for, the excess death estimate may actually be underestimated. In addition, so far we’ve only seeing short term injuries; long term effects (cancers, autoimmune and neurological disorders) will surely affect all-cause mortality for years if not decades.
Not to mention, even in the absence of vaccines, mortality should have been lower in the second year due to the “pull forward” effect. (Individuals who died in year one were elderly and/or had multiple comorbidities and COVID hastened their demise.) Assuming this wasn’t adjusted for, the excess death estimate may actually be underestimated. In addition, so far we’ve only seeing short term injuries; long term effects (cancers, autoimmune and neurological disorders) will surely affect all-cause mortality for years if not decades.
A few of us know your comments to be true so how come you never hear this brilliant analysis on the news or on podcasts?
Can’t take full credit. H/T Brett Weinstein and Mathew Crawford.